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Author Topic: Lake Effect Rain on Labour Day?!  (Read 2098 times)

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Offline Thayne

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Lake Effect Rain on Labour Day?!
« on: September 03, 2010, 11:29:23 PM »
Yes, apparently that is possible! The summer has been so warm and the lakes are so warm as a result that with this cold snap, and the wind we will be experiencing lake effect rainfall...

This means that the traditional snow-belt areas will be the hardest hit rain-wise and the further in land from the water the better...

It looks right now that the NAM is forecasting a larger area of precipitation basically covering all of southern and central ontario, whereas the GFS has the Huron Coast and the muskoka/grey bruce regions being the most affected.

This is a tricky call as well see in the winter with Lake Effect snow, we get 20 cm's fore-casted and we get a dusting because the winds change..this can also happen in this case...the showers will be spotty and isolated, but i suspect all tracks are going to at least see a few drops at some point in the day.

The tracks most likely to get their racing in: Mosport and Peterborough.



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Lake Effect Rain on Labour Day?!
« on: September 03, 2010, 11:29:23 PM »

Offline ladybugprincess88

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Re: Lake Effect Rain on Labour Day?!
« Reply #1 on: September 04, 2010, 02:34:08 AM »
Interesting. Thanks for the weather report, Thayne. It'll be interesting to see how racing goes and what days we get left without rain.

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Offline zero

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Re: Lake Effect Rain on Labour Day?!
« Reply #2 on: September 04, 2010, 11:11:42 AM »
Thayner, are we racing today? keep us up to date.





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Re: Lake Effect Rain on Labour Day?!
« Reply #2 on: September 04, 2010, 11:11:42 AM »

Offline Thayne

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Re: Lake Effect Rain on Labour Day?!
« Reply #3 on: September 04, 2010, 11:28:01 AM »
I just had a peak at the models...ike lake effect snow its so hard to judge! It all depends on winds....as of this morning the winds have shifted to the positive...especially for sunset....

The NAM has barrie and sunset staying dry, but barely...the GFS has the rain way off to the north....

Unfortunately for Sauble...they are thoroughly screwed...

Varney looks like it will get pured on, Flammy is kind of in our situation as well...

Just remember..Lake Effect is super tricky....lets hope it stays to the north and to the west...



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Offline zero

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Re: Lake Effect Rain on Labour Day?!
« Reply #4 on: September 04, 2010, 12:41:45 PM »
Thanks Thayne, keeping my fingers crossed.

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Offline Kahnefreak

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Re: Lake Effect Rain on Labour Day?!
« Reply #5 on: September 04, 2010, 02:05:29 PM »
Barrie Just posted this on their website within the last 20 minutes. So I am assuming they are going for it for racing.

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Offline polishprince12

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Re: Lake Effect Rain on Labour Day?!
« Reply #6 on: September 04, 2010, 02:24:36 PM »
why wouldn't thet. they don't pay tow money or even do a make up feature if we get our heats in. but the fans lose their cash! >:(

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Offline Kahnefreak

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Re: Lake Effect Rain on Labour Day?!
« Reply #7 on: September 04, 2010, 02:28:43 PM »
i hear ya on that one jim. i wanted that make up feature race or at least tow money cause we did the heats.

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