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Author Topic: Racing Forecast for June 19th  (Read 2612 times)

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Offline Thayne

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Racing Forecast for June 19th
« on: June 18, 2010, 10:40:20 PM »
Synopsis: There is a shortwave trough leading a cold front that is moving into the area right behind the Mesoscale Convective System (MCS) that is taking place in the southern parts of the province right now. This trough will spark thunderstorms in the early morning hours, some with the chance of being severe. These storms will become high based and linear as the unstable air stabilizes later in the morning, this will give way to showers, sun and the chance at some popup thunderstorms. The rain should move off to the East mid to late afternoon for most places.

what this means for:

Barrie Speedway: The rain and thunderstorm action should stop by the early to mid afternoon, giving way to nice weather if you like sun and humidity. The rain should end between 3 and 4 with this latest run of the NAM, Jet is 55 mph and I don;t see that changing. The cold front will rbing rain right in behind around midnight.

Sunset Speedway: Same as Barrie, the rain should move off by mid afternoon giving way to a nice evening.

Peterborough Speedway: Sucks to be off to the east, the rain will hang around the Peterborough area until some time after 8. The rain will be light as only a few mm are expected to fall. Will JP wait it out?

Mosposrt Speedway: Mosport is right int he line of fire, their thunderstorms will be more fierce earlier int eh day and the rain will hang around most of the night.

Varney Speedway: will see the rain move off earlier int eh day but the approaching cold front in behind will be their downfall if they dont hurry the show, rain will start int he area around 10 pm.

Sauble Speedway: The same as Varney, but the rain will be harder and start around 1030 pm

The cold front will reach Sunset and Barrie by about 11, 1130 pm bringing light to moderate showers. After midnight things will pick up, with heave downpours from Georgian Bay to Toronto.

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Racing Forecast for June 19th
« on: June 18, 2010, 10:40:20 PM »

Offline Kahnefreak

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Re: Racing Forecast for June 19th
« Reply #1 on: June 19, 2010, 01:30:41 AM »
Thanks Hope Barrie holds out, with the extra show I'm sure they will try

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Offline zero

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Re: Racing Forecast for June 19th
« Reply #2 on: June 19, 2010, 06:45:00 AM »
THAYNE, thanks for the weather report. We can all keep our fingers crossed. You are a man of your word. again Thayne, THANKS.

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Re: Racing Forecast for June 19th
« Reply #2 on: June 19, 2010, 06:45:00 AM »

Offline ride.race

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Re: Racing Forecast for June 19th
« Reply #3 on: June 19, 2010, 07:26:38 AM »
Thanks, Thayne! I told you that you give better weather than the TV !

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Offline jcrashm2

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Re: Racing Forecast for June 19th
« Reply #4 on: June 19, 2010, 09:21:22 AM »
what about flamboro/ hamilton...i wanna see how well you predict...

Linkback: /smf/index.php?topic=11570.msg83204#msg83204
Raced Flamboro,Varney,Sauble,Barrie,CNE, Sunset,Ohsweken,Humberstone,Peterboro, Paris,Delaware

Offline Thayne

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Re: Racing Forecast for June 19th
« Reply #5 on: June 19, 2010, 10:14:26 AM »
sorry man, forgot flammy haha

an update from last night. After the Derechos of yesterday moved through, they left a cool, moist airmass behind, much cooler than originally thought. This will make thunderstorm development hard today. I believe storms will still fire, but no further north than newmarket area. Rain is still an issue with the cold front though. Guidance, now has moved the cold front speed up a few hours, Barrie may start seeing rain around 9 pm. with the rain starting in sauble and varney around 7 pm

Flamborough is right nin the wheel house for thunderstorm development....IF they fire, Flamborough will see a lot of the action into the evening hours. To me, convection should start around 11 am and if Towers are breaking through the cap by 1 or 2 then we will have some nice storms....Flamborough will get the cold front at about the same time as Barrie, between 9 and 10, sparking showers.

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Offline Kahnefreak

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Re: Racing Forecast for June 19th
« Reply #6 on: June 19, 2010, 10:27:29 AM »
so with that as a forecast. i think Barrie will cancel. Rain till afternoon. and rain again before the show would finish, don't think it's happening.

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Offline Thayne

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Re: Racing Forecast for June 19th
« Reply #7 on: June 19, 2010, 10:44:06 AM »
if they do it will be a mistake...we will get it in..the rain is not very substantial.

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Offline zero

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Re: Racing Forecast for June 19th
« Reply #8 on: June 19, 2010, 12:23:49 PM »
Kaynefreak  If Thayner says we are racing tonight we are racing. Nobody does the weather like thayne he is batting 1000.You are the man Thayne,  YOU   ARE   THE   MAN.

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Offline Kahnefreak

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Re: Racing Forecast for June 19th
« Reply #9 on: June 19, 2010, 01:00:08 PM »
i hope he's right, otherwise Thayne isn't allowed to smack my ass ever again

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Offline Thayne

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« Reply #10 on: June 19, 2010, 01:11:59 PM »
Hey now, let's not get carried away steve

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Offline polishprince12

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Re: Racing Forecast for June 19th
« Reply #11 on: June 19, 2010, 01:59:51 PM »
no rain, according to thayne!   love it!

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Offline jcrashm2

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Re: Racing Forecast for June 19th
« Reply #12 on: June 19, 2010, 11:14:27 PM »
clouds rolled in and it poured big time with lightning 6 races into the show for about 15 minutes then it cleared and the show finished with some track drying...

Linkback: /smf/index.php?topic=11570.msg83237#msg83237
Raced Flamboro,Varney,Sauble,Barrie,CNE, Sunset,Ohsweken,Humberstone,Peterboro, Paris,Delaware

 


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