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Author Topic: Racing Forecast June 26th  (Read 2096 times)

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Offline Thayne

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Racing Forecast June 26th
« on: June 25, 2010, 08:39:06 PM »
Synopsis:

There are two short wave troughs moving into the region overnight tonight with an accompanying cold front. The real pain here is the cold front as the troughs will spark off thunderstorms in southern and southwestern ontario in the afternoon and evening hours saturday. The cold front will bring showers, this si where it gets tricky. The models are not in agreeance on timing of this cold front's arrival. The GFS has it arriving 6 hours earlier than the NAM and therefore the rain, according to the GFS will end around 330 or 4. The NAM (which I trust more) says rain all afternoon and night...

For Barrie: Light rain will fall beginning very early in the morning and should continue throughout the day and into the night. The GFS disagrees, but I trust the NAM in my experiences.

Sunset: The same as Barrie....Light rain all day and evening....

Flamborough should stay rain free all day as long as the Thunderstorms stay away and I think they will stay to the south. Flammy should get their show in.

Peterborough: Heavy rains will move into the Region around 5 o'clock after it moves out of the barrie area, they have the worst forecast of anyone.

Sauble: Will see rain off and on, more off than on, but enough will fall that getting the show in looks glum at best.

Varney: It looks like it will clear around 5 pm in Varney to a nice night. Will they wait it out?

Mosport: The NAM shows light, very light rain...I suspect it will rain most of the afternoon and night here.

For the record, you racers who now all of a sudden love the GFS, it shows no rain in any track's area after 4 pm.

Linkback: /smf/index.php?topic=11616.msg83586#msg83586

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Racing Forecast June 26th
« on: June 25, 2010, 08:39:06 PM »

Offline RacingMom3553

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Re: Racing Forecast June 26th
« Reply #1 on: June 25, 2010, 10:32:54 PM »
Hey Thayne...what does it say about Grand Bend...The Speedway has the Can Am Midgets there this weekend, as well as a 75 lap Mini Truck Memorial race!  What are the chances they get their show inÉ

Linkback: /smf/index.php?topic=11616.msg83587#msg83587

Offline Thayne

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Re: Racing Forecast June 26th
« Reply #2 on: June 25, 2010, 11:01:43 PM »
Grand bend should be okay, some showers earlier in the day, chance of a thunderstorm though that might put a damper ont he night...i would say chances are fairly hi that u get it in.

Linkback: /smf/index.php?topic=11616.msg83589#msg83589

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Re: Racing Forecast June 26th
« Reply #2 on: June 25, 2010, 11:01:43 PM »

Offline Thayne

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Re: Racing Forecast June 26th
« Reply #3 on: June 25, 2010, 11:04:44 PM »
Newest model run just came out and it shows the rain ending around 3-4 pm....we will see what the 6z run says in the am....

Linkback: /smf/index.php?topic=11616.msg83590#msg83590

Offline zero

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Re: Racing Forecast June 26th
« Reply #4 on: June 26, 2010, 06:44:19 AM »
Thanks for all the hard work on the weather forcast Thayne. Now lets see what the tracks do. I do believe most of us will be doing a few laps on the old keyboard here on CRO tonight.

Linkback: /smf/index.php?topic=11616.msg83599#msg83599

Offline Thayne

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Re: Racing Forecast June 26th
« Reply #5 on: June 26, 2010, 11:23:29 AM »
The rain is 3/4 of the way through the region already, looks to be moved on in the next two hours or so....for barrie/sunset.

Linkback: /smf/index.php?topic=11616.msg83607#msg83607

Offline #9Chris

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Re: Racing Forecast June 26th
« Reply #6 on: June 26, 2010, 11:25:55 AM »
So do you think we will be racing or not ??? ???

Linkback: /smf/index.php?topic=11616.msg83610#msg83610
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Offline Thayne

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Re: Racing Forecast June 26th
« Reply #7 on: June 26, 2010, 11:33:21 AM »
its up to the track...if they let us come there....we will go racing...

Linkback: /smf/index.php?topic=11616.msg83617#msg83617

Offline Thayne

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Re: Racing Forecast June 26th
« Reply #8 on: June 26, 2010, 11:34:54 AM »
Also, there is no rain behind this system....so, nothing to worry about on the back end....This is a good chance for Barrie to show us they give a rats ass about us racers...

Linkback: /smf/index.php?topic=11616.msg83618#msg83618

Offline Kahnefreak

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Re: Racing Forecast June 26th
« Reply #9 on: June 26, 2010, 11:35:46 AM »
well Thayne you have knowledge of the weather. So if you think theres a good chance we get the racing in you should call the track and tell them to wait a bit longer to make a decision. We wouldn't mind making the trip if they were gonna try to wait it out and see even if it does rain, it's the "They tried" factor that means they care.

Linkback: /smf/index.php?topic=11616.msg83619#msg83619
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